Aleutian Islands and Alaska
More active due to the earthquake on
Probability of another of magnitude 5.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake on occurred:
8.7%
On average, after an earthquake like this: 5.4%. This figure is 1.6 times the average.
Namazu: earthquake forecast for Aleutian Islands and Alaska, with data as of .
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter, from to , is 2.0%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 8.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
| Period | Magnitude 5.0 or larger | Magnitude 6.0 or larger | Magnitude 7.0 or larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Until | 54.8% | 9.8% | 1.4% |
| Until | 96.6% | 33.6% | 6.2% |
| Until | more than 99.9% | 62.2% |
Authorities
- United States: Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA): fema.gov USGS National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC): usgs.gov
- Canada: Public Safety Canada / Sécurité publique Canada: publicsafety.gc.ca Check with your local authority.
- Russia: Ministry of the Russian Federation for Civil Defence, Emergencies and Elimination of Consequences of Natural Disasters (EMERCOM / MChS): mchs.gov.ru Check with your local authority.
Namazu does not guess; it measures. These are probabilities. Data: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS); Time zones: contains information from timezone-boundary-builder (https://github.com/evansiroky/timezone-boundary-builder), made available under the Open Database License (ODbL) (https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/)
Bulletins for this regionData as of
Sources
- Data: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)
- Time zones: contains information from timezone-boundary-builder (https://github.com/evansiroky/timezone-boundary-builder), made available under the Open Database License (ODbL) (https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/)