Caribbean and northern Venezuela

Authorities

• Venezuela: Dirección Nacional de Protección Civil y Administración de Desastres (DNPCAD): pcivil.gob.ve Check with your local authority.
• The Bahamas: Check with your local authority. USGS Earthquake Hazards Program / National Earthquake Information Center: usgs.gov
• Cuba: Check with your local authority. Centro Nacional de Investigaciones Sismológicas (CENAIS): cenais.gob.cu
• Dominican Republic: Centro de Operaciones de Emergencias (COE): coe.gob.do Check with your local authority.
• Haiti: Direction Générale de la Protection Civile (DGPC): protectioncivile.gouv.ht Unité Technique de Sismologie (UTS), Bureau des Mines et de l'Énergie (BME): bme.gouv.ht
• Jamaica: Office of Disaster Preparedness and Emergency Management (ODPEM): odpem.gov.jm Earthquake Unit, University of the West Indies, Mona: mona.uwi.edu
• Colombia: Unidad Nacional para la Gestión del Riesgo de Desastres (UNGRD): portal.gestiondelriesgo.gov.co Check with your local authority.
• Puerto Rico: Check with your local authority. Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (Universidad de Puerto Rico, Mayagüez): redsismica.uprm.edu
• Trinidad and Tobago: Office of Disaster Preparedness and Management (ODPM): odpm.gov.tt The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
• Turks and Caicos Islands: Department of Disaster Management and Emergencies (DDME): gov.tc USGS Earthquake Hazards Program / National Earthquake Information Center: usgs.gov
• Guadeloupe: Préfecture de la Région Guadeloupe (services de l'État, défense et protection civiles): guadeloupe.gouv.fr Observatoire volcanologique et sismologique de Guadeloupe (OVSG-IPGP): ipgp.fr
• Antigua and Barbuda: National Office of Disaster Services (NODS): nods.gov.ag The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
• Cayman Islands: Hazard Management Cayman Islands (HMCI): caymanprepared.ky USGS Earthquake Hazards Program / National Earthquake Information Center: usgs.gov
• Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: National Emergency Management Organisation (NEMO): nemo.gov.vc The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
• Nicaragua: Sistema Nacional para la Prevención, Mitigación y Atención de Desastres (SINAPRED): sinapred.gob.ni Instituto Nicaragüense de Estudios Territoriales (INETER): ineter.gob.ni
• Honduras: Comisión Permanente de Contingencias (COPECO): copeco.gob.hn Instituto Hondureño de Ciencias de la Tierra (IHCIT), UNAH: ihcit.unah.edu.hn
• Caribbean Netherlands (Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba): Check with your local authority. Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI): knmi.nl
• Martinique: Check with your local authority. Observatoire volcanologique et sismologique de la Martinique (OVSM-IPGP): ipgp.fr
• U.S. Virgin Islands: Virgin Islands Territorial Emergency Management Agency (VITEMA): vitema.vi.gov Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (Universidad de Puerto Rico, Mayagüez): redsismica.uprm.edu
• British Virgin Islands: Department of Disaster Management (DDM): gov.vg Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (Universidad de Puerto Rico, Mayagüez): redsismica.uprm.edu
• Curaçao: Directorado di Desaster (DRR): gobiernu.cw Meteorological Department Curaçao (Meteo Curaçao): meteo.cw
• Grenada: Check with your local authority. The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
• Dominica: Office of Disaster Management (ODM): odm.gov.dm The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
• Barbados: Department of Emergency Management (DEM): gov.bb The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
• Saint Lucia: National Emergency Management Organisation (NEMO): nemo.gov.lc The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
• Anguilla: Check with your local authority. The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
• Saint Kitts and Nevis: National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA): nema.kn The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
• United States: Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA): fema.gov USGS National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC): usgs.gov
• Aruba: Bureau Rampenbestrijding (BRB) / Crisis Management Office: gobierno.aw Departamento Meteorologico Aruba: meteo.aw
• Guyana: Civil Defence Commission (CDC): cdc.gov.gy Check with your local authority.
• Saint Barthélemy: Check with your local authority. Observatoire volcanologique et sismologique de Guadeloupe (OVSG-IPGP): ipgp.fr
• Montserrat: Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA): gov.ms The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
• Saint Martin (French part): Check with your local authority. Observatoire volcanologique et sismologique de Guadeloupe (OVSG-IPGP): ipgp.fr
• Sint Maarten (Dutch part): Disaster Management (Office of Disaster Management, Sint Maarten Fire Department): sintmaartengov.org Meteorological Department of St. Maarten (MDS): meteosxm.com
• Costa Rica: Check with your local authority. Red Sismológica Nacional (RSN: UCR-ICE): rsn.ucr.ac.cr

Our hypothesis under evaluation

This hypothesis takes into account the recent large earthquakes in the region and the aftershocks they may still produce, given the time since each one; the usual probability includes aftershocks in its long-run average, but does not rise while a sequence is under way. With it, the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region until Mon Nov 9 is 5.4%; the usual probability is 2.4%. It is not validated yet: it is our theory, and we show it so you have more to go on. Check with your local authority.

The live validation of this hypothesis has 0 of 52 weeks already judged. How it is validated