Bulletin 7bbeb2ec90aa

Namazu: earthquake forecast for Central America, with data as of November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6).

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to November 8, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 35.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to November 8, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 4.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to November 8, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 0.6%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to December 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 85.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to December 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 18.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to December 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 2.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to November 1, 2027, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 93.6%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to November 1, 2027, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 22.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

Nicaragua: Sistema Nacional para la Prevención, Mitigación y Atención de Desastres (SINAPRED): https://www.sinapred.gob.ni Instituto Nicaragüense de Estudios Territoriales (INETER): https://www.ineter.gob.ni

Honduras: Comisión Permanente de Contingencias (COPECO): https://copeco.gob.hn Instituto Hondureño de Ciencias de la Tierra (IHCIT), UNAH: https://ihcit.unah.edu.hn

Guatemala: Coordinadora Nacional para la Reducción de Desastres (CONRED): https://conred.gob.gt Instituto Nacional de Sismología, Vulcanología, Meteorología e Hidrología (INSIVUMEH): https://insivumeh.gob.gt

Costa Rica: Check with your local authority. Red Sismológica Nacional (RSN: UCR-ICE): https://rsn.ucr.ac.cr

Belize: Check with your local authority.

Mexico: Coordinación Nacional de Protección Civil (CNPC): https://www.gob.mx/sspc/acciones-y-programas/coordinacion-nacional-de-proteccion-civil-357857 Check with your local authority.

El Salvador: Dirección General de Protección Civil: https://www.proteccioncivil.gob.sv Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales (MARN), ex SNET: https://www.snet.gob.sv

Panama: Check with your local authority. Instituto de Geociencias, Universidad de Panamá (IGC-UP): https://sismosgeociencias.up.ac.pa/

Whether this bulletin is still current, was replaced or was annulled, and the aftershock zone of each earthquake, are at https://proyectonamazu.com/en/centroamerica/boletin/7bbeb2ec90aa25ed17e0d352ea84fb0bcec3b73d1c2a597b51d4dfb1fdb304c9

Namazu does not guess; it measures. These are probabilities. Data: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS); Time zones: contains information from timezone-boundary-builder (https://github.com/evansiroky/timezone-boundary-builder), made available under the Open Database License (ODbL) (https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/)

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7bbeb2ec90aa25ed17e0d352ea84fb0bcec3b73d1c2a597b51d4dfb1fdb304c9

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