Philippines and Taiwan
More active due to the earthquake on
Probability of another of magnitude 5.8 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake on occurred:
12.7%
On average, after an earthquake like this: 5.4%. This figure is 2.3 times the average.
Namazu: earthquake forecast for Philippines and Taiwan, with data as of .
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.7 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.8 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 12.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.8 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.9 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter, from to , is 2.3%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.2 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.3 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter, from to , is 1.4%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.2 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.3 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 12.0%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
| Period | Magnitude 5.0 or larger | Magnitude 6.0 or larger | Magnitude 7.0 or larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Until | 76.3% | 13.7% | 1.4% |
| Until | 99.8% | 47.4% | 6.2% |
| Until | more than 99.9% | 56.5% |
Authorities
- Philippines: Check with your local authority. Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (PHIVOLCS), DOST: phivolcs.dost.gov.ph
- Taiwan: National Fire Agency, Ministry of the Interior: nfa.gov.tw Central Weather Administration (CWA): cwa.gov.tw
- Malaysia: National Disaster Management Agency (NADMA): nadma.gov.my Malaysian Meteorological Department (MET Malaysia): met.gov.my
- Japan: Cabinet Office, Disaster Management (Bosai); Fire and Disaster Management Agency (FDMA): bousai.go.jp Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA): jma.go.jp
- China: Ministry of Emergency Management of the People's Republic of China (MEM): mem.gov.cn Check with your local authority.
- Indonesia: National Disaster Management Agency (BNPB): bnpb.go.id Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG): bmkg.go.id
Namazu does not guess; it measures. These are probabilities. Data: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS); Time zones: contains information from timezone-boundary-builder (https://github.com/evansiroky/timezone-boundary-builder), made available under the Open Database License (ODbL) (https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/)
Bulletins for this regionData as of
Sources
- Data: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)
- Time zones: contains information from timezone-boundary-builder (https://github.com/evansiroky/timezone-boundary-builder), made available under the Open Database License (ODbL) (https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/)