Indonesia
More active due to the earthquake on
Probability of another of magnitude 5.5 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake on occurred:
15.5%
On average, after an earthquake like this: 5.4%. This figure is 2.8 times the average.
Namazu: earthquake forecast for Indonesia, with data as of .
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter, from to , is 2.0%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 8.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.7 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.8 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter, from to , is 0.1%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.7 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.8 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 0.9%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.3 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.4 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter, from to , is 1.0%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.3 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.4 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 6.8%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.4 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.5 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 15.5%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 8.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
| Period | Magnitude 5.0 or larger | Magnitude 6.0 or larger | Magnitude 7.0 or larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Until | 95.0% | 25.0% | 3.5% |
| Until | more than 99.9% | 68.6% | 13.9% |
| Until | more than 99.9% | 74.2% |
Authorities
- Indonesia: National Disaster Management Agency (BNPB): bnpb.go.id Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG): bmkg.go.id
- Malaysia: National Disaster Management Agency (NADMA): nadma.gov.my Malaysian Meteorological Department (MET Malaysia): met.gov.my
- Australia: Check with your local authority. Geoscience Australia (National Earthquake Alerts Centre): ga.gov.au
- Timor-Leste: Check with your local authority.
- Palau: Check with your local authority.
- Thailand: Check with your local authority. Thai Meteorological Department (TMD), Earthquake Surveillance Division: tmd.go.th
- Christmas Island: Check with your local authority. Geoscience Australia (National Earthquake Alerts Centre): ga.gov.au
- Singapore: Singapore Civil Defence Force (SCDF): scdf.gov.sg Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS), National Environment Agency: weather.gov.sg
- Cocos (Keeling) Islands: Check with your local authority. Geoscience Australia (National Earthquake Alerts Centre): ga.gov.au
- Papua New Guinea: Check with your local authority.
Namazu does not guess; it measures. These are probabilities. Data: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS); Time zones: contains information from timezone-boundary-builder (https://github.com/evansiroky/timezone-boundary-builder), made available under the Open Database License (ODbL) (https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/)
Bulletins for this regionData as of
Sources
- Data: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)
- Time zones: contains information from timezone-boundary-builder (https://github.com/evansiroky/timezone-boundary-builder), made available under the Open Database License (ODbL) (https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/)