Bulletin 7f3a57a8e85a

Namazu: earthquake forecast for Mexico, with data as of November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6).

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to November 8, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 37.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to November 8, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 6.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to November 8, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 1.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to December 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 87.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to December 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 23.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to December 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 4.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to November 1, 2027, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 96.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 18:00 (UTC−6) to November 1, 2027, 18:00 (UTC−6), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 41.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

Mexico: Coordinación Nacional de Protección Civil (CNPC): https://www.gob.mx/sspc/acciones-y-programas/coordinacion-nacional-de-proteccion-civil-357857 Check with your local authority.

United States: Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA): https://www.fema.gov USGS National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC): https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/national-earthquake-information-center-neic

Guatemala: Coordinadora Nacional para la Reducción de Desastres (CONRED): https://conred.gob.gt Instituto Nacional de Sismología, Vulcanología, Meteorología e Hidrología (INSIVUMEH): https://insivumeh.gob.gt

Whether this bulletin is still current, was replaced or was annulled, and the aftershock zone of each earthquake, are at https://proyectonamazu.com/en/mexico/boletin/7f3a57a8e85a3673733185f7f4c57e6360d38d9bfffa8650b33e62f0c107619b

Namazu does not guess; it measures. These are probabilities. Data: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS); Time zones: contains information from timezone-boundary-builder (https://github.com/evansiroky/timezone-boundary-builder), made available under the Open Database License (ODbL) (https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/)

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7f3a57a8e85a3673733185f7f4c57e6360d38d9bfffa8650b33e62f0c107619b

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