Bulletin 52ba45a0e210
Issued on
There is a more recent bulletin for this region. See the most recent
Namazu: earthquake forecast for Caribbean and northern Venezuela, with data as of November 1, 2026, 19:26 (UTC−4). From October 25, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4) to November 1, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 17.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length. From October 25, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4) to November 1, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 2.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length. From October 25, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4) to November 1, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 0.7%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length. From October 25, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4) to November 24, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 54.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length. From October 25, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4) to November 24, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 10.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length. From October 25, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4) to November 24, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 2.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length. From October 25, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4) to October 25, 2027, 20:00 (UTC−4), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 70.8%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length. From October 25, 2026, 20:00 (UTC−4) to October 25, 2027, 20:00 (UTC−4), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 33.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length. Venezuela: Dirección Nacional de Protección Civil y Administración de Desastres (DNPCAD): https://www.pcivil.gob.ve/ Check with your local authority. The Bahamas: Check with your local authority. USGS Earthquake Hazards Program / National Earthquake Information Center: https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards Cuba: Check with your local authority. Centro Nacional de Investigaciones Sismológicas (CENAIS): https://www.cenais.gob.cu Dominican Republic: Centro de Operaciones de Emergencias (COE): https://www.coe.gob.do Check with your local authority. Haiti: Direction Générale de la Protection Civile (DGPC): https://www.protectioncivile.gouv.ht Unité Technique de Sismologie (UTS), Bureau des Mines et de l'Énergie (BME): https://www.bme.gouv.ht Jamaica: Office of Disaster Preparedness and Emergency Management (ODPEM): https://odpem.gov.jm/ Earthquake Unit, University of the West Indies, Mona: https://www.mona.uwi.edu/earthquake/ Colombia: Unidad Nacional para la Gestión del Riesgo de Desastres (UNGRD): https://portal.gestiondelriesgo.gov.co/ Check with your local authority. Puerto Rico: Check with your local authority. Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (Universidad de Puerto Rico, Mayagüez): https://redsismica.uprm.edu Trinidad and Tobago: Office of Disaster Preparedness and Management (ODPM): https://odpm.gov.tt The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): https://uwiseismic.com Turks and Caicos Islands: Department of Disaster Management and Emergencies (DDME): https://www.gov.tc/ddme/about/ddme USGS Earthquake Hazards Program / National Earthquake Information Center: https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards Guadeloupe: Préfecture de la Région Guadeloupe (services de l'État, défense et protection civiles): https://www.guadeloupe.gouv.fr Observatoire volcanologique et sismologique de Guadeloupe (OVSG-IPGP): https://www.ipgp.fr/fr/ovsg/ Antigua and Barbuda: National Office of Disaster Services (NODS): https://nods.gov.ag The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): https://uwiseismic.com Cayman Islands: Hazard Management Cayman Islands (HMCI): https://caymanprepared.ky USGS Earthquake Hazards Program / National Earthquake Information Center: https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: National Emergency Management Organisation (NEMO): https://nemo.gov.vc The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): https://uwiseismic.com Nicaragua: Sistema Nacional para la Prevención, Mitigación y Atención de Desastres (SINAPRED): https://www.sinapred.gob.ni Instituto Nicaragüense de Estudios Territoriales (INETER): https://www.ineter.gob.ni Honduras: Comisión Permanente de Contingencias (COPECO): https://copeco.gob.hn Instituto Hondureño de Ciencias de la Tierra (IHCIT), UNAH: https://ihcit.unah.edu.hn Caribbean Netherlands (Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba): Check with your local authority. Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI): https://www.knmi.nl/nederland-nu/caribisch-nederland Martinique: Check with your local authority. Observatoire volcanologique et sismologique de la Martinique (OVSM-IPGP): https://www.ipgp.fr/fr/ovsm/ U.S. Virgin Islands: Virgin Islands Territorial Emergency Management Agency (VITEMA): https://vitema.vi.gov Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (Universidad de Puerto Rico, Mayagüez): https://redsismica.uprm.edu British Virgin Islands: Department of Disaster Management (DDM): https://gov.vg/departments/department-disaster-management Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (Universidad de Puerto Rico, Mayagüez): https://redsismica.uprm.edu Curaçao: Directorado di Desaster (DRR): https://gobiernu.cw Meteorological Department Curaçao (Meteo Curaçao): https://www.meteo.cw Grenada: Check with your local authority. The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): https://uwiseismic.com Dominica: Office of Disaster Management (ODM): https://odm.gov.dm/who-we-are-office-of-disaster-management/ The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): https://uwiseismic.com Barbados: Department of Emergency Management (DEM): https://www.gov.bb/Departments/emergency-management The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): https://uwiseismic.com Saint Lucia: National Emergency Management Organisation (NEMO): https://nemo.gov.lc The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): https://uwiseismic.com Anguilla: Check with your local authority. The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): https://uwiseismic.com Saint Kitts and Nevis: National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA): https://www.nema.kn The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): https://uwiseismic.com United States: Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA): https://www.fema.gov USGS National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC): https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/national-earthquake-information-center-neic Aruba: Bureau Rampenbestrijding (BRB) / Crisis Management Office: https://www.gobierno.aw/en/crisis-management-office-brb-0 Departamento Meteorologico Aruba: https://meteo.aw/wxabout.php Guyana: Civil Defence Commission (CDC): https://cdc.gov.gy Check with your local authority. Saint Barthélemy: Check with your local authority. Observatoire volcanologique et sismologique de Guadeloupe (OVSG-IPGP): https://www.ipgp.fr/fr/ovsg/ Montserrat: Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA): https://www.gov.ms/government/non-ministerial-departments/office-of-the-deputy-governor/disaster-management-coordination-agency/ The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): https://uwiseismic.com Saint Martin (French part): Check with your local authority. Observatoire volcanologique et sismologique de Guadeloupe (OVSG-IPGP): https://www.ipgp.fr/fr/ovsg/ Sint Maarten (Dutch part): Disaster Management (Office of Disaster Management, Sint Maarten Fire Department): https://www.sintmaartengov.org/Ministries/Departments/Pages/Disaster-Management.aspx Meteorological Department of St. Maarten (MDS): https://www.meteosxm.com Costa Rica: Check with your local authority. Red Sismológica Nacional (RSN: UCR-ICE): https://rsn.ucr.ac.cr Whether this bulletin is still current, was replaced or was annulled, and the aftershock zone of each earthquake, are at https://proyectonamazu.com/en/caribe-norte-de-venezuela/boletin/52ba45a0e210b4e58ce11ac9255417087f234c5be1ca1ae0e22b277b0585b852 Namazu does not guess; it measures. These are probabilities. Data: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS); Time zones: contains information from timezone-boundary-builder (https://github.com/evansiroky/timezone-boundary-builder), made available under the Open Database License (ODbL) (https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/)
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- 52ba45a0e210b4e58ce11ac9255417087f234c5be1ca1ae0e22b277b0585b852
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- fa7b0524a44556bf3c9888272b25d6456b7964e61eb2489ad54370e304b17fb9