Bulletin e237947f66ba

Namazu: earthquake forecast for Peru, with data as of November 1, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5).

From November 1, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5) to November 8, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 36.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5) to November 8, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 4.8%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5) to November 8, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 1.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5) to December 1, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 83.7%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5) to December 1, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 18.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5) to December 1, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 4.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5) to November 1, 2027, 19:00 (UTC−5), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 92.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

From November 1, 2026, 19:00 (UTC−5) to November 1, 2027, 19:00 (UTC−5), the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 45.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.

Peru: Check with your local authority. Instituto Geofísico del Perú (IGP), Centro Sismológico Nacional (CENSIS): https://ultimosismo.igp.gob.pe/

Brazil: Secretaria Nacional de Proteção e Defesa Civil (Ministério da Integração e do Desenvolvimento Regional): https://www.gov.br/mdr/pt-br/assuntos/protecao-e-defesa-civil Check with your local authority.

Bolivia: Check with your local authority. Observatorio San Calixto: https://www.osc.org.bo

Ecuador: Servicio Nacional de Gestión de Riesgos y Emergencias: https://www.gestionderiesgos.gob.ec Instituto Geofísico de la Escuela Politécnica Nacional (IG-EPN): https://www.igepn.edu.ec

Chile: Servicio Nacional de Prevención y Respuesta ante Desastres (SENAPRED): https://www.senapred.cl Centro Sismológico Nacional, Universidad de Chile (CSN): https://www.sismologia.cl

Colombia: Unidad Nacional para la Gestión del Riesgo de Desastres (UNGRD): https://portal.gestiondelriesgo.gov.co/ Check with your local authority.

Whether this bulletin is still current, was replaced or was annulled, and the aftershock zone of each earthquake, are at https://proyectonamazu.com/en/peru/boletin/e237947f66bad4a08355a2bf88fb08df74c54cff9b9f602183cb820997635835

Namazu does not guess; it measures. These are probabilities. Data: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS); Time zones: contains information from timezone-boundary-builder (https://github.com/evansiroky/timezone-boundary-builder), made available under the Open Database License (ODbL) (https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/)

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e237947f66bad4a08355a2bf88fb08df74c54cff9b9f602183cb820997635835

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