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Live: earthquakes of magnitude 3.5 or larger worldwide
Last reading: 1 min ago
Latest earthquake worldwide: magnitude 4.5, 34 min ago · Chile
- Magnitude 4.3Aleutian Islands and Alaska (opens in a new tab)70 km deepThe source flags a possible tsunami: this is not an official notice. Check with your local authority.12 h ago
No Namazu forecast: check with your local authority.
Below magnitude 4.5, the number of earthquakes depends on each country's networks. Earthquakes from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) catalog, which gathers magnitudes from several networks, as soon as Namazu reads them. Each country's seismic network may publish a different figure, and it is the reference in that country. Country and sea names are from Natural Earth, in the public domain.
Latest
Latest · Panama, Colombia and Ecuador
More active due to the earthquake on
Probability of another of magnitude 5.3 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake on occurred:
11.7%
On average, after an earthquake like this: 5.4%. This figure is 2.2 times the average.
Full text
After the magnitude 5.2 earthquake on : 11.7% probability of a larger one within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred. That is 2.2 times the average after an earthquake like this (5.4%).
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What moved this week · 7 regions
- Panama, Colombia and Ecuador2.2 times the averageAfter the magnitude 5.2 earthquake on
- Aleutian Islands and Alaska1.6 times the averageAfter the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on
- Philippines and Taiwan2.3 times the averageAfter the magnitude 5.7 earthquake on
- Vanuatu, Solomon Islands and Papua New Guinea1.9 times the averageAfter the magnitude 5.4 earthquake on
- Japan, Kuril Islands and Kamchatka1.6 times the averageAfter the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on
- Indonesia2.8 times the averageAfter the magnitude 5.4 earthquake on
- Tonga, Kermadec and New Zealand2.5 times the averageAfter the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on
All regions: usual probability of an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger until
Japan, Kuril Islands and Kamchatka19.4%Usual probability
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 6.0 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 6.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 0.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.5 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.6 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 3.3%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 8.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 83.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 19.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 3.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is more than 99.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 58.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 12.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is more than 99.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 78.7%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- Russia: Ministry of the Russian Federation for Civil Defence, Emergencies and Elimination of Consequences of Natural Disasters (EMERCOM / MChS): mchs.gov.ru Check with your local authority.
- Japan: Cabinet Office, Disaster Management (Bosai); Fire and Disaster Management Agency (FDMA): bousai.go.jp Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA): jma.go.jp
- China: Ministry of Emergency Management of the People's Republic of China (MEM): mem.gov.cn Check with your local authority.
- South Korea: Ministry of the Interior and Safety (MOIS): mois.go.kr Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA): kma.go.kr
- North Korea: Check with your local authority.
Izu, Bonin and Mariana Islands6.4%Usual probability
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.4 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.5 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 1.3%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 61.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 6.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 0.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 99.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 24.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 2.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 95.8%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 21.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- Japan: Cabinet Office, Disaster Management (Bosai); Fire and Disaster Management Agency (FDMA): bousai.go.jp Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA): jma.go.jp
- Northern Mariana Islands: Check with your local authority.
- Guam: Guam Homeland Security / Office of Civil Defense (GHS/OCD): ghs.guam.gov Check with your local authority.
- Federated States of Micronesia: Check with your local authority.
Aleutian Islands and Alaska9.9%Usual probability
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 8.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 54.7%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 9.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 1.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 96.6%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 34.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 6.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is more than 99.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 62.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- United States: Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA): fema.gov USGS National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC): usgs.gov
- Canada: Public Safety Canada / Sécurité publique Canada: publicsafety.gc.ca Check with your local authority.
- Russia: Ministry of the Russian Federation for Civil Defence, Emergencies and Elimination of Consequences of Natural Disasters (EMERCOM / MChS): mchs.gov.ru Check with your local authority.
Cascadia and western United States2.2%Usual probability
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 16.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 2.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 52.7%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 9.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 75.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- United States: Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA): fema.gov USGS National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC): usgs.gov
- Canada: Public Safety Canada / Sécurité publique Canada: publicsafety.gc.ca Check with your local authority.
- Mexico: Coordinación Nacional de Protección Civil (CNPC): gob.mx Check with your local authority.
Mexico6.0%Usual probability
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 37.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 6.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 1.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 87.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 23.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 4.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 96.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 40.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- Mexico: Coordinación Nacional de Protección Civil (CNPC): gob.mx Check with your local authority.
- United States: Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA): fema.gov USGS National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC): usgs.gov
- Guatemala: Coordinadora Nacional para la Reducción de Desastres (CONRED): conred.gob.gt Instituto Nacional de Sismología, Vulcanología, Meteorología e Hidrología (INSIVUMEH): insivumeh.gob.gt
Central America4.5%Usual probability
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 36.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 4.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 0.6%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 85.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 18.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 2.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 93.7%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 22.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- Nicaragua: Sistema Nacional para la Prevención, Mitigación y Atención de Desastres (SINAPRED): sinapred.gob.ni Instituto Nicaragüense de Estudios Territoriales (INETER): ineter.gob.ni
- Honduras: Comisión Permanente de Contingencias (COPECO): copeco.gob.hn Instituto Hondureño de Ciencias de la Tierra (IHCIT), UNAH: ihcit.unah.edu.hn
- Guatemala: Coordinadora Nacional para la Reducción de Desastres (CONRED): conred.gob.gt Instituto Nacional de Sismología, Vulcanología, Meteorología e Hidrología (INSIVUMEH): insivumeh.gob.gt
- Costa Rica: Check with your local authority. Red Sismológica Nacional (RSN: UCR-ICE): rsn.ucr.ac.cr
- Belize: Check with your local authority.
- Mexico: Coordinación Nacional de Protección Civil (CNPC): gob.mx Check with your local authority.
- El Salvador: Dirección General de Protección Civil: proteccioncivil.gob.sv Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales (MARN), ex SNET: snet.gob.sv
- Panama: Check with your local authority. Instituto de Geociencias, Universidad de Panamá (IGC-UP): sismosgeociencias.up.ac.pa
Panama, Colombia and Ecuador4.5%Usual probability
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.2 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.3 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 11.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 8.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 29.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 4.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 0.6%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 76.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 18.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 2.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 92.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 22.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- Colombia: Unidad Nacional para la Gestión del Riesgo de Desastres (UNGRD): portal.gestiondelriesgo.gov.co Check with your local authority.
- Ecuador: Servicio Nacional de Gestión de Riesgos y Emergencias: gestionderiesgos.gob.ec Instituto Geofísico de la Escuela Politécnica Nacional (IG-EPN): igepn.edu.ec
- Peru: Check with your local authority. Instituto Geofísico del Perú (IGP), Centro Sismológico Nacional (CENSIS): ultimosismo.igp.gob.pe
- Panama: Check with your local authority. Instituto de Geociencias, Universidad de Panamá (IGC-UP): sismosgeociencias.up.ac.pa
- Venezuela: Dirección Nacional de Protección Civil y Administración de Desastres (DNPCAD): pcivil.gob.ve Check with your local authority.
- Costa Rica: Check with your local authority. Red Sismológica Nacional (RSN: UCR-ICE): rsn.ucr.ac.cr
Caribbean and northern Venezuela2.4%Usual probability
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 17.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 2.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 0.7%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 54.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 10.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 2.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 70.8%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 33.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- Venezuela: Dirección Nacional de Protección Civil y Administración de Desastres (DNPCAD): pcivil.gob.ve Check with your local authority.
- The Bahamas: Check with your local authority. USGS Earthquake Hazards Program / National Earthquake Information Center: usgs.gov
- Cuba: Check with your local authority. Centro Nacional de Investigaciones Sismológicas (CENAIS): cenais.gob.cu
- Dominican Republic: Centro de Operaciones de Emergencias (COE): coe.gob.do Check with your local authority.
- Haiti: Direction Générale de la Protection Civile (DGPC): protectioncivile.gouv.ht Unité Technique de Sismologie (UTS), Bureau des Mines et de l'Énergie (BME): bme.gouv.ht
- Jamaica: Office of Disaster Preparedness and Emergency Management (ODPEM): odpem.gov.jm Earthquake Unit, University of the West Indies, Mona: mona.uwi.edu
- Colombia: Unidad Nacional para la Gestión del Riesgo de Desastres (UNGRD): portal.gestiondelriesgo.gov.co Check with your local authority.
- Puerto Rico: Check with your local authority. Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (Universidad de Puerto Rico, Mayagüez): redsismica.uprm.edu
- Trinidad and Tobago: Office of Disaster Preparedness and Management (ODPM): odpm.gov.tt The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
- Turks and Caicos Islands: Department of Disaster Management and Emergencies (DDME): gov.tc USGS Earthquake Hazards Program / National Earthquake Information Center: usgs.gov
- Guadeloupe: Préfecture de la Région Guadeloupe (services de l'État, défense et protection civiles): guadeloupe.gouv.fr Observatoire volcanologique et sismologique de Guadeloupe (OVSG-IPGP): ipgp.fr
- Antigua and Barbuda: National Office of Disaster Services (NODS): nods.gov.ag The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
- Cayman Islands: Hazard Management Cayman Islands (HMCI): caymanprepared.ky USGS Earthquake Hazards Program / National Earthquake Information Center: usgs.gov
- Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: National Emergency Management Organisation (NEMO): nemo.gov.vc The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
- Nicaragua: Sistema Nacional para la Prevención, Mitigación y Atención de Desastres (SINAPRED): sinapred.gob.ni Instituto Nicaragüense de Estudios Territoriales (INETER): ineter.gob.ni
- Honduras: Comisión Permanente de Contingencias (COPECO): copeco.gob.hn Instituto Hondureño de Ciencias de la Tierra (IHCIT), UNAH: ihcit.unah.edu.hn
- Caribbean Netherlands (Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba): Check with your local authority. Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI): knmi.nl
- Martinique: Check with your local authority. Observatoire volcanologique et sismologique de la Martinique (OVSM-IPGP): ipgp.fr
- U.S. Virgin Islands: Virgin Islands Territorial Emergency Management Agency (VITEMA): vitema.vi.gov Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (Universidad de Puerto Rico, Mayagüez): redsismica.uprm.edu
- British Virgin Islands: Department of Disaster Management (DDM): gov.vg Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (Universidad de Puerto Rico, Mayagüez): redsismica.uprm.edu
- Curaçao: Directorado di Desaster (DRR): gobiernu.cw Meteorological Department Curaçao (Meteo Curaçao): meteo.cw
- Grenada: Check with your local authority. The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
- Dominica: Office of Disaster Management (ODM): odm.gov.dm The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
- Barbados: Department of Emergency Management (DEM): gov.bb The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
- Saint Lucia: National Emergency Management Organisation (NEMO): nemo.gov.lc The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
- Anguilla: Check with your local authority. The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
- Saint Kitts and Nevis: National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA): nema.kn The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
- United States: Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA): fema.gov USGS National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC): usgs.gov
- Aruba: Bureau Rampenbestrijding (BRB) / Crisis Management Office: gobierno.aw Departamento Meteorologico Aruba: meteo.aw
- Guyana: Civil Defence Commission (CDC): cdc.gov.gy Check with your local authority.
- Saint Barthélemy: Check with your local authority. Observatoire volcanologique et sismologique de Guadeloupe (OVSG-IPGP): ipgp.fr
- Montserrat: Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA): gov.ms The UWI Seismic Research Centre (University of the West Indies): uwiseismic.com
- Saint Martin (French part): Check with your local authority. Observatoire volcanologique et sismologique de Guadeloupe (OVSG-IPGP): ipgp.fr
- Sint Maarten (Dutch part): Disaster Management (Office of Disaster Management, Sint Maarten Fire Department): sintmaartengov.org Meteorological Department of St. Maarten (MDS): meteosxm.com
- Costa Rica: Check with your local authority. Red Sismológica Nacional (RSN: UCR-ICE): rsn.ucr.ac.cr
Peru4.8%Usual probability
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 36.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 4.8%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 1.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 83.7%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 18.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 4.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 92.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 45.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- Peru: Check with your local authority. Instituto Geofísico del Perú (IGP), Centro Sismológico Nacional (CENSIS): ultimosismo.igp.gob.pe
- Brazil: Secretaria Nacional de Proteção e Defesa Civil (Ministério da Integração e do Desenvolvimento Regional): gov.br Check with your local authority.
- Bolivia: Check with your local authority. Observatorio San Calixto: osc.org.bo
- Ecuador: Servicio Nacional de Gestión de Riesgos y Emergencias: gestionderiesgos.gob.ec Instituto Geofísico de la Escuela Politécnica Nacional (IG-EPN): igepn.edu.ec
- Chile: Servicio Nacional de Prevención y Respuesta ante Desastres (SENAPRED): senapred.cl Centro Sismológico Nacional, Universidad de Chile (CSN): sismologia.cl
- Colombia: Unidad Nacional para la Gestión del Riesgo de Desastres (UNGRD): portal.gestiondelriesgo.gov.co Check with your local authority.
Chile12.4%Usual probability
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 70.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 12.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 0.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 99.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 39.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 3.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is more than 99.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 41.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- Argentina: Sistema Nacional para la Gestión Integral del Riesgo y la Protección Civil (SINAGIR): argentina.gob.ar Instituto Nacional de Prevención Sísmica (INPRES): inpres.gob.ar
- Chile: Servicio Nacional de Prevención y Respuesta ante Desastres (SENAPRED): senapred.cl Centro Sismológico Nacional, Universidad de Chile (CSN): sismologia.cl
- Bolivia: Check with your local authority. Observatorio San Calixto: osc.org.bo
- Peru: Check with your local authority. Instituto Geofísico del Perú (IGP), Centro Sismológico Nacional (CENSIS): ultimosismo.igp.gob.pe
- Paraguay: Secretaría de Emergencia Nacional (SEN): sen.gov.py Check with your local authority.
Vanuatu, Solomon Islands and Papua New Guinea31.1%Usual probability
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.1 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.2 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 1.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 6.2 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 6.3 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 1.0%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.7 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.8 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 4.8%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.4 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.5 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 10.1%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 95.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 31.1%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 4.3%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is more than 99.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 79.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 16.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is more than 99.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 88.7%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- Papua New Guinea: Check with your local authority.
- Solomon Islands: Check with your local authority. Geological Survey Division, Ministry of Mines, Energy and Rural Electrification (MMERE): mmere.gov.sb
- Vanuatu: National Disaster Management Office (NDMO): ndmo.gov.vu Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-Hazards Department (VMGD): vmgd.gov.vu
- New Caledonia: Gouvernement de la Nouvelle-Calédonie (sécurité civile); Haut-commissariat de la République: gouv.nc Check with your local authority.
- Australia: Check with your local authority. Geoscience Australia (National Earthquake Alerts Centre): ga.gov.au
- Federated States of Micronesia: Check with your local authority.
Tonga, Kermadec and New Zealand25.6%Usual probability
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 13.5%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.5 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.6 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 1.1%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 97.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 25.6%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 2.8%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is more than 99.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 70.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 11.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is more than 99.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 81.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- New Zealand: Check with your local authority. GeoNet (Earth Sciences New Zealand, with Natural Hazards Commission and LINZ): geonet.org.nz
- Fiji: Check with your local authority.
- Tonga: Check with your local authority. Tonga Meteorological Services (Ministry of MEIDECC): met.gov.to
- Samoa: Disaster Management Office, Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment (MNRE): mnre.gov.ws Check with your local authority.
- American Samoa: Check with your local authority.
- Wallis and Futuna: Préfet des îles Wallis et Futuna (services de l'État, sécurité civile): wallis-et-futuna.gouv.fr Check with your local authority.
- Niue: Niue Disaster Management (Government of Niue): gov.nu Check with your local authority.
- New Caledonia: Gouvernement de la Nouvelle-Calédonie (sécurité civile); Haut-commissariat de la République: gouv.nc Check with your local authority.
Philippines and Taiwan13.7%Usual probability
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.7 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.8 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 12.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.2 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.3 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 12.0%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 76.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 13.7%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 1.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 99.8%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 47.4%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 6.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is more than 99.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 56.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- Philippines: Check with your local authority. Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (PHIVOLCS), DOST: phivolcs.dost.gov.ph
- Taiwan: National Fire Agency, Ministry of the Interior: nfa.gov.tw Central Weather Administration (CWA): cwa.gov.tw
- Malaysia: National Disaster Management Agency (NADMA): nadma.gov.my Malaysian Meteorological Department (MET Malaysia): met.gov.my
- Japan: Cabinet Office, Disaster Management (Bosai); Fire and Disaster Management Agency (FDMA): bousai.go.jp Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA): jma.go.jp
- China: Ministry of Emergency Management of the People's Republic of China (MEM): mem.gov.cn Check with your local authority.
- Indonesia: National Disaster Management Agency (BNPB): bnpb.go.id Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG): bmkg.go.id
Indonesia25.0%Usual probability
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 8.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.7 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.8 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 0.9%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.3 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.4 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 6.8%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.4 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.5 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 15.5%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
After an earthquake
After the magnitude 5.0 earthquake on , the probability of another one of magnitude 5.1 or larger within 50 km of the epicenter until , calculated when the earthquake occurred, is 8.7%. On average, an earthquake like this is followed by a larger one 5.4% of the time.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is 95.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 25.0%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 3.5%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or larger in the region is more than 99.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is 68.7%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 13.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region is more than 99.9%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
From to , the probability of at least one earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or larger in the region is 74.2%. This is how often one has occurred in the region over periods of the same length.
Authorities
- Indonesia: National Disaster Management Agency (BNPB): bnpb.go.id Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG): bmkg.go.id
- Malaysia: National Disaster Management Agency (NADMA): nadma.gov.my Malaysian Meteorological Department (MET Malaysia): met.gov.my
- Australia: Check with your local authority. Geoscience Australia (National Earthquake Alerts Centre): ga.gov.au
- Timor-Leste: Check with your local authority.
- Palau: Check with your local authority.
- Thailand: Check with your local authority. Thai Meteorological Department (TMD), Earthquake Surveillance Division: tmd.go.th
- Christmas Island: Check with your local authority. Geoscience Australia (National Earthquake Alerts Centre): ga.gov.au
- Singapore: Singapore Civil Defence Force (SCDF): scdf.gov.sg Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS), National Environment Agency: weather.gov.sg
- Cocos (Keeling) Islands: Check with your local authority. Geoscience Australia (National Earthquake Alerts Centre): ga.gov.au
- Papua New Guinea: Check with your local authority.
Each region's figure is what is usual there; regions differ in size and are not compared with one another. Check with your local authority.
Data as of
Sources
- Data: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)
- Time zones: contains information from timezone-boundary-builder (https://github.com/evansiroky/timezone-boundary-builder), made available under the Open Database License (ODbL) (https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/)